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经济学家预测,2020年巴西GDP将缩水6.25%

2020-6-2 18:38

 

新华网巴西利亚6月1日电巴西央行1日表示,巴西金融分析师将2020年经济增长预期从- 5.89%下调至- 6.25%,这是巴西央行连续第16次下调经济增长预期。


根据世行对巴西主要金融机构经济学家的每周调查,分析师们将2021年的增长预测维持在3.5%。


今年的通胀预期从1.57%小幅降至1.55%,明年则从3.14%降至3.1%。两者均符合政府的官方通胀目标,即2020年通胀率为4%,2021年通胀率为3.75%,上下波动幅度为1.5%。


巴西今年的基准利率预计将稳定在2.25%,但分析师将明年的预估从3.29%上调至3.38%。


拉丁美洲最大的经济体预计在2020年贸易顺差将达到455亿美元,2021年将达到450亿美元。


预计外国直接投资今年将达到640亿美元,明年将达到750亿美元。

 

BRASILIA, June 1 (Xinhua) -- Brazil's financial analysts downgraded their economic growth forecast for 2020 from -5.89 percent to -6.25 percent, marking the 16th downward adjustment in a row, the Central Bank of Brazil said on Monday.

According to the bank's weekly poll of economists at leading Brazilian financial institutions, analysts maintained their growth projections for 2021 at 3.5 percent.

The inflation forecast for this year slightly decreased from 1.57 to 1.55 percent, and from 3.14 to 3.1 percent for next year. Both fall within the government's official inflation target of 4 percent for 2020 and 3.75 percent for 2021, with a 1.5-percent variation upwards or downwards.

Brazil's projected benchmark interest rate remained steady at 2.25 percent for the year, but analysts raised their estimates for next year from 3.29 to 3.38 percent.

Latin America's largest economy is expected to see a trade surplus of 45.5 billion U.S. dollars in 2020, and 45 billion dollars in 2021.

Foreign direct investment is forecast to reach 64 billion dollars this year, and 75 billion dollars the next.

 

来自: xinhua