巴西的经济不确定性将在12月得到缓解

新华网里约热内卢12月30日电(记者刘建超)巴西经济智库负责人30日表示，12月巴西经济不确定性有所缓解，但仍高于2月新冠肺炎疫情爆发前的水平。

Getulio Vargas基金会(FGV)表示，与11月相比，本月的经济不确定性指数下降3.5点至142.3，但仍比2月份的水平高27.2点。

“增加了前一个月后,巴西指标测量的不确定性再次下跌,12月开始受到几个国家的疫苗接种和上升的预期,尽管仍然温和,经济和社会的可能性恢复在未来几个月,“FGV的一份报告中说。

该智库表示:“2020年结束时的水平高于140点，这一水平仍然相当不利，这反映了围绕巴西健康下降的不确定性以及该国存在问题的疫苗接种方案。”

报告称，“由于巴西在各种问题上仍需面对巨大挑战”，短期内没有迹象表明不确定性将回到更令人满意的水平。

金融市场预计，今年巴西经济将收缩4.4%，而政府预计，受疫情影响，巴西经济将收缩4.5%。

RIO DE JANEIRO, Dec. 30 (Xinhua) -- Uncertainty about the Brazilian economy eased in December, but still above the level in February before the COVID-19 outbreak, said a leading economic think tank on Wednesday.

The Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) said that its Economic Uncertainty Indicator fell 3.5 points to 142.3 this month from November, but is still 27.2 points above the level in February.

"After the increase of the previous month, the indicator that measures Brazilian uncertainty fell again in December, influenced by the start of vaccination in several countries and rise in expectations, although still modest, about the possibility of economic and social recovery in the coming months," the FGV said in a report.

"The year 2020 ends at a level higher than 140 points, a level that is still quite unfavorable, which reflects the uncertainty surrounding a decline in health in Brazil and the problematic vaccination scenario in the country," the think tank said.

There are no short-term signs that indicate uncertainty will return to more satisfactory levels, "due to the enormous challenges that Brazil still needs to face in a variety of issues," it said.

The financial market estimates Brazil's economy will contract 4.4 percent this year, while the government expects a contraction of 4.5 percent due to the impact of the pandemic.